The Impact of China’s Environmental Protection Tax on Regional Economic Effects
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2024-4-22Keywords:
Regions of China, Environmental Protection Tax, Regional Economic Effects, Random Effects Model, Environmental Tax PolicyAbstract
In 2018, China adopted the Environmental Protection Tax Law, transitioning from administrative fees to statutory taxes. The law aimed to incentivize enterprises to reduce pollution emissions through economic means, improve environmental quality, and promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structures for economic development. This study seeks to reveal the mechanisms of the impact of environmental protection tax on regional economic effects, providing policy recommendations for achieving high-quality economic development and ecological environmental protection. The study analyses four key variables—environmental protection tax revenue, regional industrial output value, regional GDP, and regional industrial pollution control investment—from 31 regions in China between 2018 and 2022, forming a sample of 30 observations. A random effects model is constructed and empirically analysed using Python 3.12. The empirical results show that for every additional unit of environmental protection tax, the average expected growth of regional GDP is 0.1043 units. There are significant differences in the economic effects of China’s environmental protection tax on regions, and these differences have random effects. This study provides new insights and empirical evidence for understanding and evaluating the impact of environmental protection taxes on regional economic outcomes, helping policymakers assess current impacts and continue encouraging enterprises to adopt clean production technologies, improve energy efficiency, and promote economic structure optimization and industrial upgrading to support high-quality economic development.
References
Abdullah, S., & Morley, B. (2014). Environmental taxes and economic growth: Evidence from panel causality tests. Energy Economics, 42, 27–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.11.013
Aloi, M., & Tournemaine, F. (2011). Growth effects of environmental policy when pollution affects health. Economic Modelling, 28 (4), 1683–1695. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2011.02.035
Barnea, A., Heinkel, R., & Kraus, A. (2005). Green investors and corporate investment. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 16 (3), 332–346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2004.04.002
Bosquet, B. (2000). Environmental tax reform: does it work? A survey of the empirical evidence. Ecological Economics, 34 (1), 19–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921–8009(00)00173-7
Bovenberg, A. L., & De Mooij, R. A. (1997). Environmental tax reform and endogenous growth. Journal of Public Economics, 63 (2), 207–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047–2727(96)01596-4
Brock, W. A., & Taylor, M. S. (2005). Chapter 28 – Economic Growth and the Environment: A Review of Theory and Empirics. Handbook of Economic Growth, 1, 1749–1821. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574–0684(05)01028-2
Ciaschini, M., Pretaroli, R., Severini, F., & Socci, C. (2012). Regional double dividend from environmental tax reform: An application for the Italian economy. Research in Economics, 66 (3), 273–283. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2012.04.002
Chenghao, Y., Mayburov, I. A., & Ying, W. (2024). Fiscal Effects of Environmental Tax Reform: A Comparative Analysis of China, Germany and the United Kingdom. Journal of Tax Reform, 10 (2), 258–270. https://doi.org/10.15826/jtr.2024.10.2.168
De Miguel, C., & Manzano, B. (2011). Gradual green tax reforms. Energy Economics, 33, S50–S58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.07.026
Durusu-Ciftci, D., Gokmenoglu, K. K., & Yetkiner, H. (2018). The heterogeneous impact of taxation on economic development: New insights from a panel cointegration approach. Economic Systems, 42 (3), 503–513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2018.01.001
Fan, Q., Qiao, Y., Zhang, T., & Huang, K. (2021). Environmental regulation policy, corporate pollution control and economic growth effect: Evidence from China. Environmental Challenges, 5, 100244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envc.2021.100244
Glomm, G., Kawaguchi, D., & Sepulveda, F. (2008). Green taxes and double dividends in a dynamic economy. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30 (1), 19–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2007.09.001
Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110 (2), 353–377. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443
Hart, R. (2004). Growth, environment and innovation—a model with production vintages and environmentally oriented research. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 48 (3), 1078–1098. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2004.02.001
Hassan, M., Oueslati, W., & Rousselière, D. (2020). Environmental taxes, reforms and economic growth: an empirical analysis of panel data. Economic Systems, 44 (3), 100806. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2020.100806
Holland, J. H. (2006). Studying complex adaptive systems. Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 19, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-006-0001-z
Hu, H., Dong, W., & Zhou, Q. (2021). A comparative study on the environmental and economic effects of a resource tax and carbon tax in China: Analysis based on the computable general equilibrium model. Energy Policy, 156, 112460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112460
Hu, X., Wu, H., Ni, W., Wang, Q., Zhou, D., & Liu, J. (2023). Quantifying the dynamical interactions between carbon pricing and environmental protection tax in China. Energy Economics, 126, 106912. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106912
Isard, W. (1956). Regional science, the concept of region, and regional structure. Papers in Regional Science, 2 (1), 13¬–26. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435–5597.1956.tb01542.x
Krugman, P. (1992). Geography and trade. MIT press. https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262610865/geography-and-trade/ (Date of access: 15.03.2024).
Kumbhakar, S. C., Badunenko, O., & Willox, M. (2022). Do carbon taxes affect economic and environmental efficiency? The case of British Columbia’s manufacturing plants. Energy Economics, 115, 106359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106359
Lee, Y., & Gordon, R. H. (2005). Tax structure and economic growth. Journal of Public Economics, 89 (5-6), 1027–1043. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2004.07.002
Li, G., Zhang, R., & Masui, T. (2021). CGE modeling with disaggregated pollution treatment sectors for assessing China’s environmental tax policies. Science of the Total Environment, 761, 143264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143264
Liu, B., & Ge, J. (2023). The optimal choice of environmental tax revenue usage: incentives for cleaner production or end-of-pipe treatment? Journal of Environmental Management, 329, 117106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117106
Liu, G., Yang, Z., Zhang, F., & Zhang, N. (2022). Environmental tax reform and environmental investment: a quasi-natural experiment based on China’s Environmental Protection Tax Law. Energy Economics, 109, 106000. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106000
North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change and economic performance. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511808678
Oueslati, W. (2014). Environmental tax reform: Short-term versus long-term macroeconomic effects. Journal of Macroeconomics, 40, 190–201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.02.004
Patuelli, R., Nijkamp, P., & Pels, E. (2005). Environmental tax reform and the double dividend: A meta-analytical performance assessment. Ecological Economics, 55 (4), 564–583. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.12.021
Pigou, A. C. (1920). The Economics of Welfare. Macmillan. https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/pigou-the-economics-of-welfare (Date of access: 15.02.2024).
Rakpho, P., Chitksame, T., & Kaewsompong, N. (2023). The effect of environmental taxes and economic growth on carbon emission in G7 countries applying panel kink regression. Energy Reports, 9, 1384–1391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.05.185
Ren, Y., Hu, G., & Wan, Q. (2024). Environmental Protection Tax and Diversification Transition of Heavily Polluting Enterprises: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment in China. Economic Analysis and Policy, 81, 1570–1592. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2024.02.031
Renström, T. I., Spataro, L., & Marsiliani, L. (2021). Can subsidies rather than pollution taxes break the trade-off between economic output and environmental protection? Energy Economics, 95, 105084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.105084
Sun, Y., Belgacem, S. B., Khatoon, G., & Nazir, F. (2023). Impact of environmental taxation, green innovation, economic growth, and renewable energy on green total factor productivity. Gondwana Research. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gr.2023.10.016
Vellinga, N. (1999). Multiplicative utility and the influence of environmental care on the short-term economic growth rate. Economic Modelling, 16 (3), 307–330. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0264–9993(99)00002-4
Wang, J., Wang, K., Shi, X., & Wei, Y. M. (2019). Spatial heterogeneity and driving forces of environmental productivity growth in China: would it help to switch pollutant discharge fees to environmental taxes? Journal of Cleaner Production, 223, 36–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.03.045
Wesseh Jr, P. K., & Lin, B. (2019). Environmental policy and ‘double dividend’ in a transitional economy. Energy Policy, 134, 110947. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110947
Xie, L., Zuo, S., & Xie, Z. (2023). Environmental protection fee-to-tax and enterprise investment efficiency: Evidence from China. Research in International Business and Finance, 66, 102057. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102057
Zhang, X., Huang, Y., & Wei, F. (2024). The incentive effects of the macro tax burden on economic growth: A negative or positive incentive effect? Analysis based on panel data. International Review of Economics & Finance, 93, 128–147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2024.03.006
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Е Чэнхао , Майбуров Игорь Анатольевич , Wang Ying

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

