THE EFFECT OF HUMAN CAPITAL ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM KAZAKH REGIONS

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-7

Keywords:

Kazakhstan, human capital, region, economic growth, total factor productivity, gross regional product, average years of schooling, percentage of population with higher education, infant mortality rate, life expectancy at birth

Abstract

The importance of human capital for economic growth is now widely recognised and has been studied extensively. However, the influence of human capital on economic growth of Kazakhstan has not yet been studied fully enough. In particular, to the best of the knowledge, there are no studies that use various approximations of human capital and utilise both direct and indirect approaches. Using educational and health indicators, this paper tests empirically how human capital influences economic growth of Kazakh regions over the period 1994-2019 both as a production function and through total factor productivity (TFP). The analysis revealed that human capital is insignificant as a production factor but has significant indirect effect on the TFP growth rate. The latter is realised through the ability to imitate and introduce new technologies from outside rather than through the domestic innovation. The scientific novelty of this research is as follows. Firstly, it uses both educational and health approximations of human capital. Secondly, it studies how human capital influences economic growth of the Kazakh regions both directly as a production factor and indirectly through TFP. Thirdly, it checks for the presence of spatial dependence in data across Kazakhstan regions. Fourthly, it constructs average years of schooling data across the regions of the country. The results of the study are important for designing policies to increase economic growth of the country and its regions. As a further development of this work, it seems interesting to use other approximations of human capital.

Author Biography

Yerken M. Turganbayev , Nazarbayev University

PhD in Economics, Cand. Sci. (Phys.-Math.), Administrative Director, Graduate School of Business; Scopus Author ID: 56641676000; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0042-9929 (53, Kabanbay Batyra Ave., Astana, 010000, Republic of Kazakhstan; e-mail: yerken.turganbayev@nu.edu.kz).

References

Abdulla, K. (2021). Regional convergence and structural transformation in a resource-dependent country. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 59, 548–557. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.10.004

Alekhin, B. I. (2021). Human Capital and Regional Economic Growth in Russia. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika [Spatial Economics], 17(2), 57–80. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14530/se.2021.2.057-080 (In Russ.)

Anselin, L. (2009). Spatial regression. In: A. S. Fotheringham, P. A. Rogerson (Eds.), The SAGE Handbook of Spatial Analysis, vol. 1 (pp. 255–276). CA, USA, Sage Thousand Oaks.

Arabsheibani, G. R. & Mussurov, A. (2007). Returns to Schooling in Kazakhstan: OLS and Instrumental Variables Approach. Economics of Transition, 15(2), 341–364. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0351.2007.00284.x

Arbia, G. (2006). Spatial Econometrics: Statistical Foundations and Applications to Regional Convergence. Springer Science & Business Media, 207.

Arellano, M. & Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277–297. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968

Azam, M. & Ahmed, A. M. (2015). Role of Human Capital and Foreign Direct Investment in Promoting Economic Growth: Evidence from Commonwealth of Independent States. International Journal of Social Economics, 42(2), 98–111. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-05-2014-0092

Azariadis, C. & Drazen, A. (1990). Threshold Externalities in Economic Development. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105(2), 501–526. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2937797

Badinger, H., Müller, W. & Tondl, G. (2004). Regional Convergence in the European Union, 1985-1999: A Spatial Dynamic Panel Analysis. Regional Studies, 38(3), 241–253. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/003434042000211105

Barro, R. J. (1997). Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study. MIT Press, 145.

Benhabib, J. & Spiegel, M. (1994). The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development: Evidence from Aggregate Cross-Country Data. Journal of Monetary Economics, 34(2), 143–173. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)90047-7

Bleakley, H. (2010). Health, Human Capital, and Development. Annual Review of Economics, 2(1), 283–310. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.economics.102308.124436

Bloom, D. E., Canning, D. & Sevilla, J. (2004). The Effect of Health on Economic Growth: A Production Function Approach. World Development, 32(1), 1–13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2003.07.002

Blundell, R. & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8

Bond, S., Hoeffler, A. & Temple, J. (2001). GMM Estimation of Empirical Growth Models. CEPR Discussion Paper Series, Discussion Paper No. 3048.

Bulina, A. O., Mozgovaya, K. A. & Pakhnin, M. A. (2020). Human Capital in the Theory of Economic Growth: Classical Models and New Approaches. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo Universiteta. Ekonomika [St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies], 36(2), 163–188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2020.201 (In Russ.)

Byrne, J. P., Fazio, G. & Piacentino, D. (2009). Total Factor Productivity Convergence among Italian Regions: Some Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests. Regional Studies, 43(1), 63–76. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343400701654137

Caselli, F., Esquivel, G. & Lefort, F. (1996). Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics. Journal of Economic Growth, 1(3), 363–389. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00141044

Celbis, M. G. & de Crombrugghe, D. (2018). Internet Infrastructure and Regional Convergence: Evidence from Turkey. Papers in Regional Science, 97(2), 387–409. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12244

Cole, M. A. & Neumayer, E. (2006). The Impact of Poor Health on Total Factor Productivity. Journal of Development Studies, 42(6), 918–938. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380600774681

Coulombe, S. & Tremblay, J. F. (2001). Human Capital and Regional Convergence in Canada. Journal of Economic Studies, 28(3), 154–180. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/EUM0000000005467

de la Fuente, Á. (2002). Convergence across Countries and Regions: Theory and Empirics. UFAE and IAE Working Papers, Working Paper No 555.02.

Di Liberto, A., Pigliaru, F. & Mura, R. (2007). How to Measure the Unobservable: A Panel Technique for the Analysis of TFP Convergence. Oxford Economic Papers, 60(2), 343–368. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpm022

Fleisher, B. M., Hu, Y., Li, H. & Kim, S. (2011). Economic Transition, Higher Education and Worker Productivity in China. Journal of Development Economics, 94(1), 86–94. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2010.01.001

Fleisher, B. M., Li, H. & Zhao, M. Q. (2010). Human Capital, Economic Growth, and Regional Inequality in China. Journal of Development Economics, 92(2), 215–231. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2009.01.010

Freire-Serén, M. J. (2001). Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth. Investigaciones Económicas, XXV(3), 585–602.

Ghislandi, S., Sanderson, W. C. & Scherbov, S. (2019). A simple measure of human development: The human life indicator. Population and Development Review, 45(1), 219-233. Retrieved from: http://www.jstor.org/stable/45174482

Henderson, D. J. & Russel, R. R. (2005). Human Capital and Convergence: A Production-Frontier Approach. International Economic Review, 46(4), 1167–1205. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2005.00364.x

Hsiao, C. (2014). Analysis of Panel Data. Cambridge University Press, 382.

Islam, N. (1995). Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(4), 1127–1170. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2946651

Kelchevskaya, N. R. & Shirinkina, E. V. (2019). Regional determinants of effective use of human capital in the digital economy. Ekonomika Regiona [Economy of Region], 15(2), 465–482. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17059/2019-2-12 (In Russ.)

Kiviet, J. F. (1995). On Bias, Inconsistency, and Efficiency of Various Estimators in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 53–78. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01643-E

Knowles, S. & Owen, P. D. (1995). Health Capital and Cross-Country Variation in Income per Capita in the Mankiw-Romer-Weil Model. Economics Letters, 48(1), 99–106. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(94)00577-O

Koritskiy, A. V. (2011). Chelovecheskiy kapital kak faktor ekonomicheskogo rosta regionov Rossii [Human Capital as a Factor of Economic Growth in Russian Regions]. LAP Lambert Academic Publishing, 480. (In Russ.)

Krueger, A. B. & Lindahl, M. (2001). Education for Growth: Why and for Whom? Journal of Economic Literature, 39(4), 1101–1136. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.39.4.1101

Kumar, A. & Chen, W. (2013). Health, Education and the Dynamics of Cross-Country Productivity Differences. Applied Economics Letters, 20(12), 1160–1164. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2013.797549

Kuo, C.-C. & Yang, C.-H. (2008). Knowledge Capital and Spillover on Regional Economic Growth: Evidence from China. China Economic Review, 19(4), 594–604. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2008.06.004

Le, T., Gibson, J. & Oxley, L. (2003). Cost- and Income-Based Measures of Human Capital. Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(3), 271–307. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-6419.00196

Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7

Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D. & Weil, D. N. (1992). A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477

Männasoo, K., Hein, H. & Ruubel, R. (2018). The contributions of human capital, R&D spending and convergence to total factor productivity growth. Regional Studies, 52(12), 1598–1611. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2018.1445848

Martín, M.-A. G. & Herranz, A. Á. (2004). Human Capital and Economic Growth in Spanish Regions. International Advances in Economic Research, 10(4), 257–264. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02295138

McDonald, S. & Roberts, J. (2002). Growth and Multiple forms of Human Capital in an Augmented Solow model: A Panel Data Investigation. Economics Letters, 74(2), 271–276. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(01)00539-0

Mitsek, S. A. (2021). Macroeconomic dynamics of the total factor productivity of the Russian economy. Ekonomika Regiona [Economy of Region], 16(3), 799–813. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17059/EKON.REG.2021-3-6 (In Russ.)

Miyamoto, K. & Liu, H. (2005). An Analysis of the Determinants of Provincial-Level Performance in China’s Economy. Comparative Economic Studies, 47(3), 520–542. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ces.8100056

Moran, P. A. (1950). Notes on Continuous Stochastic Phenomena. Biometrika, 37(1/2), 17–23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2332142

Narayan, S., Narayan, P. K. & Mishra, S. (2010). Investigating the Relationship between Health and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from a Panel of 5 Asian Countries. Journal of Asian Economics, 21(4), 404–411. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2010.03.006

Nelson, R. & Phelps, E. (1966). Investment in Humans, Technological Diffusion, and Economic Growth. American Economic Review, 56(1/2), 69–75.

Nickell, S. (1981). Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects. Econometrica, 49(6), 1417–1426. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1911408

O’Neill, D. (1995). Education and Income Growth: Implications for Cross-Country Inequality. Journal of Political Economy, 103(6), 1289–1301. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/601455

Pfaffermayr, M. (2012). Spatial Convergence of Regions Revisited: A Spatial Maximum Likelihood Panel Approach. Journal of Regional Science, 52(5), 857–873. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9787.2012.00773.x

Piras, G. & Arbia, G. (2007). Convergence in Per-capita GDP across EU-NUTS2 Regions Using Panel Data Models Extended to Spatial. Statistica, 67(2), 157–172. DOI: https://doi.org/10.6092/issn.1973-2201/3513

Psacharopoulos, G. (1994). Returns to Investment in Education: A Global Update. World Development, 22(9), 1325–1343. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(94)90007-8

Ramos, R., Suriñach, J. & Artís, M. (2010). Human Capital Spillovers, Productivity and Regional Convergence in Spain. Papers in Regional Science, 89(2), 435–447. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00296.x

Rey, S. J. & Janikas, M. V. (2005). Regional Convergence, Inequality, and Space. Journal of Economic Geography, 5(2), 155–176. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jnlecg/lbh044

Rivera, B. & Currais, L. (2004). Public Health Capital and Productivity in the Spanish Regions: A Dynamic Panel Data Model. World Development, 32(5), 871–885. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2003.11.006

Romer, P. M. (1990). Human Capital and Growth: Theory and Evidence. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 32, 251–286. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2231(90)90028-J

Sen, A. (1998). Mortality as an Indicator of Economic Success and Failure. The Economic Journal, 108(446), 1–25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00270

Shulgin, S. G. & Zinkins, Yu. V. (2021). Assessment of Human Capital in Russian Macroregions. Ekonomika Regiona [Economy of Region], 17(3), 888–901. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-3-12 (In Russ.)

Soukiazis, E. & Cravo, T. (2008). Human Capital and the Convergence Process Among Countries. Review of Development Economics, 12(1), 124–142. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2008.00438.x

Strauss, J. & Thomas, D. (1998). Health, Nutrition, and Economic Development. Journal of Economic Literature, 36(2), 766–817. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/2565122

Temple, J. (1999). A Positive Effect of Human Capital on Growth. Economic Letters, 65(1), 131–134. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(99)00120-2

Temple, J. (2001). Growth Effects of Education and Social Capital in the OECD Countries. OECD Economic Studies, 33(2), 57–101. Retrieved from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20757950

Timiryanova, V., Krasnoselskaya, D., Lakman, I. & Popov, D. (2021). Inter-and Intra-Regional Disparities in Russia: Factors of Uneven Economic Growth. Sustainability, 13(24), 13754. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su132413754

Turganbayev, Y. (2016). Regional Convergence in Kazakhstan. Post-Communist Economies, 28(3), 314–334. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2016.1204745

Turganbayev, Y. (2017). Total Factor Productivity Convergence across the Kazakh Regions. Post-Communist Economies, 29(2), 182–197. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2016.1267975

Turner, C., Tamura, R., Mulholland, S. E. & Baier, S. (2007). Education and Income of the States of the United States: 1840–2000. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(2), 101–158. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9016-0

Vinod, H. D. & Kaushik, S. K. (2007). Human Capital and Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries. The American Economist, 51(1), 29–39. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/056943450705100103

Wößmann, L. (2003). Specifying Human Capital. Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(3), 239–270. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-6419.00195

Yao, S., Zhang, F., Wang, F. & Ou, J. (2019). Regional Economic Growth and the Role of High-Speed Rail in China. Applied Economics, 51(32), 3465–3479. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581910

Zhang, X. & Wang, X. (2021). Measures of human capital and the mechanics of economic growth. China Economic Review, 68, 101641. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2021.10164

Downloads

Published

29.06.2023

How to Cite

Turganbayev , Y. M. . (2023). THE EFFECT OF HUMAN CAPITAL ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM KAZAKH REGIONS. Economy of Regions, 19(2), 385–396. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-7

Issue

Section

Social Development of Regions