Analysis of the Key Directions of Low-Carbon Transformation of the Moscow Economy for the Period until 2035

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-19

Keywords:

emissions, greenhouse gases, low-carbon agenda, Moscow, transport, electric vehicles, energy efficiency, housing construction, housing and communal services, electricity, heat

Abstract

The adoption of the Strategy for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation with low greenhouse gas emissions until 2050 requires considering the climate aspect of strategic planning, including at the regional and city levels. The article analyses key areas of low-carbon transformation of the Moscow economy. The study is based on the methods of mathematical modelling and scenario forecasting, utilised to estimate direct greenhouse gas emissions from energy and fuel consumption. Moscow is the leading region in terms of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, as they decreased by 9 % in 2012–2019 due to the modernisation of the energy sector, use of cogeneration, and development of urban transport. For the period until 2035, a realistic and achievable goal is to reduce emissions by another 7–11 %. To this end, it is necessary to strengthen measures in the following areas: energy-efficient capital repairs and construction (including the renovation programme); automation of central heating systems and heat supply units of buildings and housing and communal services; full electrification of public transport; promotion of fuel efficiency and the use of electric vehicles (personal and commercial transport, taxi, carsharing, delivery). In the energy sector, we recommend to maintain the existing generating capacities and purchase the rest on the surplus energy market rather than forcibly increase power generation. To ensure low-carbon transformation of Moscow, the criterion of the impact of adopted measures on emissions should be introduced and considered when planning city programmes, development schemes and investment projects. The research findings may be used to create strategic planning documents for Moscow.

Author Biographies

Alexander A. Shirov , Institute of Economic Forecasting of RAS

Corresponding Member of RAS, Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Director; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0806-9777 (47, Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117418, Russian Federation; e-mail: schir@ecfor.ru).

Kirill M. Nikitin , Tax Policy Center

Director (8/1, Tverskaya St., Moscow, 125009, Russian Federation; e-mail: kirill.nikitin@tax-policy.ru).

Irina A. Gorbunova , Tax Policy Center

General Manager (8/1, Tverskaya St., Moscow, 125009, Russian Federation; e-mail: irina.gorbunova@tax-policy.ru).

Mayagozel V. Nelyubina , Tax Policy Center

Chief Operating Officer (8/1, Tverskaya St., Moscow, 125009, Russian Federation; e-mail: maya.nelyubina@tax-policy.ru).

Andrey Yu. Kolpakov , Institute of Economic Forecasting of RAS

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Chief of Laboratory, Institute of Economic Forecasting of RAS; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4812-4582 (47, Nakhimovsky Ave., Moscow, 117418, Russian Federation; e-mail: ankolp@gmail.com).

Published

30.03.2023

How to Cite

Shirov А. А. ., Nikitin К. М. ., Gorbunova И. А. ., Nelyubina М. В., & Kolpakov А. Ю. (2023). Analysis of the Key Directions of Low-Carbon Transformation of the Moscow Economy for the Period until 2035. Economy of Regions, 19(1), 244–258. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-19

Issue

Section

Regional and Urban Management