The Impact of Health Indicator Dynamics on Economic Security in Russian Regions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2026-2-8Keywords:
economic security, demographic challenges, healthcare, rating, comprehensive expert assessment, health status of the population, health indicatorsAbstract
Current geopolitical and demographic challenges in Russia have heightened the importance of economic security and population health, especially among the working-age population. Despite extensive research, the impact of healthcare on regional economic security remains underexplored, which determines the relevance of this study. The study examines how changes in healthcare indicators relate to regional economic security and compares their dynamics across Russian regions for 2020–2023. It develops an applied methodological toolkit that uses index and point-rating methods with color-coded visualization to compare healthcare and economic security indicators, identify patterns and clusters, and calculate a smoothed regression between the “Average Comprehensive Rating of Health Indicators” and the “Economic Security” indicator. In addition, a comprehensive expert assessment framework was developed to evaluate economic security and healthcare indicators across regions using color-coded zones in a Cartesian coordinate system. This framework enables the forecasting of changes in the state of economic security while accounting for changes in healthcare indicators of Russian regions. The findings demonstrate the absence of a direct linear relationship between healthcare and economic security indicators. However, they reveal the significant influence of the healthcare system on reducing mortality among the working-age population and improving the economic security of Russian regions. The proposed approach can be used to identify and forecast changes in regional economic security while accounting for healthcare indicators based on expert regional ratings. The results can support socio-economic and healthcare policy-making in Russian regions, contributing to the preservation of labour potential and the strengthening of regional economic security.
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